Maybe you missed the point. You said:
7/24/2010 8:35:20 AM
7/24/2010 2:03:03 PM
^^ and ^ I understand your points. For page 7:
7/24/2010 3:06:59 PM
I think North Korea's most recent reactions have less to do with the characteristics and leadership of the US government and more to do with their own domestic issues. If you strip away all the communist and socialist trappings, North Korea is in a classic succession struggle right now with the Dear Leader working to secure his son's position to be the next ruler of the nation; there are a lot of clean parallels with monarchies of old with power struggles between the King (Kim Jong Il), a young Prince (Kim Jong-un) who doesn't yet have a strong political base and has weak legitimacy as the youngest son, a Regent (in this case, Kim Jong Il's brother-in-law) from the queen's family, nobles (the military and political elite) that are ready to turn on the throne, etc.North Korea is becoming increasingly unstable as their leadership convulses from these internal struggles, and I predict that we can expect more erratic and seemingly irrational behavior from them for the foreseeable future. Honestly, I don't think we can cut any realistic bargain until things settle down internally for them.
7/26/2010 10:43:34 AM
Good for a laugh:
8/12/2010 10:57:43 AM
Two of my favorite asian topics: crybaby North Korean foreign policy and Japanese denial of anything bad happening during the Showa era.
8/22/2010 7:42:34 PM
This could be interesting. Kim Jong Un might be stepping up.
9/20/2010 10:21:30 PM
10/1 odds young man offs his pops, and immediately unifies with the southern peninsula
9/20/2010 10:33:37 PM
I'm a bit more nervous about the transition than I was about any of the shenanigans in recent months. I figure the young'un will be near enough to a clone of his father but the chance that he isn't could go poorly for all involved.
9/20/2010 10:51:09 PM
I heard he studied in Sweden or something. Maybe the West rubbed off on him??
9/20/2010 10:52:20 PM
If I understand correctly he's spent a couple of decades as his dad's apprentice, which bodes poorly. But we can hope.
9/20/2010 11:24:02 PM
Conversely, he could immediately try to do what his father never could and immediately step up hostility towards the south.
9/20/2010 11:33:54 PM
Rumor mill has it that the Chinese prefer the Kim Jong-nam, the eldest son of Tokyo Disneyland fame. That could throw a monkey wrench into the entire succession process.I think the rule of the younger will probably be more dangerous than his father. This isn't because he will be crueler or more violent but because he may not be able to reign in the various factions within the government such as the military, and therefore, the North Korean government may become more unpredictable and irrational.
9/21/2010 10:30:34 AM
9/27/2010 9:31:20 PM
9/28/2010 6:03:29 PM
At this rate he'll be president by Friday.Actually, if that were to happen, I'd estimate that Kim Jong Il is near-death or dead.
9/28/2010 9:23:28 PM
10/9/2010 4:25:56 PM
10/9/2010 5:55:50 PM
Gravity bomb is nothing more than an unguided bomb.
10/13/2010 8:51:39 AM
This is weird, they've got an underground air base: http://wikimapia.org/#lat=39.0927151&lon=127.4111724&z=14&l=0&m=b
10/13/2010 9:14:05 AM
http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/asiapcf/11/19/south.korea.sunshine.policy/index.html?hpt=T2Sunshine Policy is now being called a failure
11/19/2010 12:30:14 PM
^ Sunshine's supporters will say that the policy never had a real chance because Bush killed it. Critics will say that it was stupid from the get-go, and North Korea never took it seriously. However, the policy was dealt a mortal blow in 2008 with the election of President Lee, and it pretty much sank with the Cheonan.
11/19/2010 3:44:24 PM
bttt, courtesy of the most recent attacks.http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-11818005(thanks to chit chat for the link)
11/23/2010 2:34:35 AM
Yeah this was a stupid thing to have happen.A bit of a step above the usual, lately. Sinking ships, firing artillery...
11/23/2010 11:12:16 PM
Pretty interesting:
11/29/2010 10:05:53 PM
I think the latter cable is hardly a surprise. More interesting to see it written out.
11/30/2010 10:35:30 AM
If anyone has a reason to get involved, it's China. South Korea and China do stand to face some difficulties from immigrants, but that's better than having a madman at the helm with control over nukes.
11/30/2010 1:18:30 PM
^ Another cable said that China was prepared to deal with up to 300,000 refugees coming across from North Korea in the event of collapse and that any more than that would have them using their military to seal the border.^^ Agreed, the wording of it just caught my eye; specifically the "somewhat abstract" bit.
11/30/2010 3:14:04 PM
12/12/2010 3:08:53 PM
North Korean diplomat: "Dear Leader, my American counterpart has suggested the US may be interested in opening back channel talks with us. I recommend we use our nuclear program as leverage to secure more food aid and push for diplomatic normalization between our countries. What do you think?"Kim Jong-Il: "Nigga, get me some Eric Clapton."
12/13/2010 9:52:06 AM
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/40713808/ns/world_news-asiapacific
12/18/2010 3:54:38 AM
12/19/2010 6:51:43 PM
Yea, shit is about to get real, real. Villagers are evacuating...not a great sign.
12/19/2010 10:52:47 PM
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12039477North Korea blinked...?
12/20/2010 10:06:52 AM
Hmm. I wonder if they're surprised that the exercises went through (as in, SK called their bluff) or if some deal was made.
12/20/2010 12:27:36 PM
I'd like to think that the South called their bluff and then the North Koreans found a way to weasel out (the ROK Army aimed their cannons in a different direction and thus we won't retaliate nevermind that NK still claimed that part of the ocean as well).
12/20/2010 1:10:24 PM
A result of pressure from China maybe?
12/20/2010 4:09:53 PM
Nothing to Envy is a great but heartbreaking book. As for the North's promises, I'll believe it when I see it. Their MO has always been to act belligerent, blow up a few things, kill a few people, then return to "negotiations" where they make promises, get aid, lay low, then start the cycle all over again.
12/20/2010 5:05:27 PM
Our worst fears have been realized. It has now been escalated to faxes and christmas trees.
12/22/2010 4:05:01 PM
So much for Jong-un being a moderate:
1/20/2011 8:22:44 PM
Pretty standard regime change practice for old school monarchies. His father did the same thing, and I'm pretty sure history is littered with purges. If anything, it would have been telling had there not been any significant purges...
1/21/2011 1:23:37 PM
Flexing of nuts during the transition of power continues. Looks like another nuclear test is going to happen.http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/02/21/north-korea-nuclear-test-_n_825867.html
2/21/2011 8:18:17 PM
12/23/2011 1:55:52 PM
Arirang Mass Games to end after this year. I'm really surprised.http://www.vancouversun.com/travel/North+Korea+close+curtain+huge+festival/6768565/story.htmlStrained ties with China:http://www.npr.org/2012/06/12/154774626/hijacking-reveals-strains-in-china-north-korea-ties]
6/12/2012 1:53:29 PM
Things are heating up.It looks like North Korea and Disney are going to war.http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/07/kim-jong-uns-disneyification-of-north-korea-is-more-creepy-than-cuddly/259646/
7/13/2012 2:38:38 PM
Lol, I wonder how much tolerance these people will have for a child to run their nation
7/14/2012 1:05:26 PM
i'm not sure if "tolerance" comes into play, but i don't think it will be much different than the last 20 years.
7/14/2012 1:11:45 PM
I don't see how you can say it's "not much different". The country today hardly resembles the country of his father's legacy.
7/14/2012 1:14:21 PM
you really think the country today hardly resembles the country just a few years ago? how do you figure? what's changed? how is he that different from kim jong il's country? how do you know?
7/14/2012 2:17:22 PM
Do you follow along with North Korean news? If not, I don't want to battle your preconceived notions. I already know what you're going to say and, frankly, I'm not in the mood to prove my prediction correctly for the 40th+ time.[Edited on July 15, 2012 at 2:07 PM. Reason : .]
7/15/2012 2:07:10 PM