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 Message Boards » » NC State Baseball, 2018 Edition Page 1 2 3 4 5 [6] 7 8 9, Prev Next  
bdmazur
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We're going to need every win from here on out, including a sweep of Wake. I don't think we'll sweep FSU but we have to win the series.

5/3/2018 12:39:56 AM

themayor
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Not unexpected. Its the 1st mid-week loss of the year. I dont know it to be true of this specific game, but I imagine many of the smaller schools would play up for this game and likely throw one of their better pitchers whereas we save ours for the weekend.

5/3/2018 9:21:14 AM

bdmazur
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Considering we beat Campbell 21-4 early in the season, I think it's fair to wonder if fatigue has set in. Then again, we did lose to Canisius the very next day.

Was our 3rd non-conference lost, hopefully the last.

5/3/2018 12:46:37 PM

scotieb24
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Swept W&M this weekend!

5/6/2018 8:30:40 PM

bdmazur
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Remaining schedule:

Tue, May 8: vs James Madison
Wed, May 9: vs James Madison
Fri, May 11: vs Wake
Sat, May 12: vs Wake
Sun, May 13: vs Wake
Thu, May 17: @ FSU
Fri, May 18: @FSU
Sat, May 19: @FSU

Tue, May 22: ACC Tournament begins
Fri, June 1: NCAA Regional begins

5/7/2018 4:25:33 AM

themayor
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I think the big question at this point is do we make the top 8 where we would host the super regional. Assuming we beat JMU x2, then beat wake at least twice, we need to impress vs FSU and do well in the ACCT to do that.

5/7/2018 8:16:29 AM

skaterjaws
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They do the top 16 seeds starting this year. Not 1-8.
Matches 1-16, 2-15, etc.

5/7/2018 4:38:37 PM

wolfpack2105
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Yes, but 1-8 host the super regional...so you wanna be 1-8...that hasnt changed

5/7/2018 4:57:21 PM

dmspack
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but top 8 means we'd be in line to host a super regional, right?

[Edited on May 7, 2018 at 4:58 PM. Reason : ^beat me to it]

5/7/2018 4:58:30 PM

bdmazur
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ACC top-5 remaining series (with national rankings):

Atlantic
#8 Clemson (19-8): Pitt
#7 NC State (15-9): WF, FSU
#16 FSU (14-12): NCSU

Coastal
#3 UNC (18-6): Duke, VT
#9 Duke (15-8): UNC, GT

If Clemson sweeps Pitt, we won't be able to catch them. But that won't matter if we don't sweep Wake.

[Edited on May 8, 2018 at 2:10 AM. Reason : -]

5/8/2018 2:08:10 AM

themayor
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With Clempson being that far up on us, and only having Pitt left, were not going to catch them. The worry is that FSU catches us, but since we play them, we have a big say in that. Clempson beating FSU 2/3 actually helped us at this point.

Am I correct in thinking that there are 4 pools/pods and the top 4 teams get a pool/pod? Is that top 2 in each division or top 4 overall?

5/8/2018 9:22:04 AM

bdmazur
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Too team in each division get 1-2, then the next 2 highest records regardless of division.

5/8/2018 11:21:49 AM

ncsuallday
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heading to the JMU game today at work. getting paid to watch my team play

5/9/2018 2:15:03 PM

wolfpack2105
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We need to be top 3...staying ahead of duke and fsu is necessary

5/9/2018 2:28:02 PM

bdmazur
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^Sad to say but UNC sweeping Duke would be good for us.

5/9/2018 3:52:04 PM

scotieb24
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Putting Stick On 'Em

5/9/2018 4:44:45 PM

bdmazur
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Looking like a mercy rule kind of game (unless I misunderstood...I thought being up 10 runs after 7 innings in a non-conference game gets called? We're up 14-1)

Baseball America 2 days ago had us ranked #7 and Clemson #8, and FSU at #16, yet today came out with projected seeding with Clemson at #4, FSU at #10, and us at #13 (partnering us for a super regional in Clemson).

I don't understand this, unless they're already assuming FSU will win our series.

[Edited on May 9, 2018 at 5:25 PM. Reason : -]

5/9/2018 5:11:26 PM

themayor
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I previously noted that we cant catch Clempson; that was wrong.

Clempson 19-8 37-12 (Pitt x3)
Pack9: 15-9 36-12 (Wake x3 + FSU x3)

If we win out, we are 21-9
If Clempson wins 2/3 they are also 21-9, but we have the tie-breaker in head to head. Obviously if they lose 2/3 we wouldnt have to sweep. They have 4 OOC games left, but presumably we would tie/win overall record tie-breaker too.

I dont think we sweep out but Clempson may

5/10/2018 2:04:34 PM

bdmazur
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^That's what I said above. But the way Clemson is playing right now I'd be shocked if they don't sweep. I also wouldn't put money on us sweeping FSU.

5/10/2018 2:53:38 PM

SSS
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So do we really need to pull for UNC over Duke? I so hate to do that.

5/11/2018 11:58:42 AM

bdmazur
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The ultimate ideal situation:

NC State finishes 6-0
Duke sweeps UNC
Clemson loses at least one against Pitt
UNC loses at least two to VT

Each of these is possible but not super likely, and we'd need miracles for all 4 to happen.

5/11/2018 1:27:21 PM

SSS
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OK, thanks. At least I know now. All of this should get real interesting.

5/11/2018 2:01:06 PM

scotieb24
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We beat Wake 8-5
Duke beat UNC 7-3
Clempson lost to Austin Peay 6-3

5/11/2018 10:46:27 PM

BJCaudill21
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Duke beat unc again..

5/12/2018 4:35:35 PM

bdmazur
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Brown did not have a good 1st inning. 2 walks leading up to a 3-run Homer. After not looking great his last 2 starts.

5/12/2018 6:49:24 PM

bdmazur
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2nd inning Brown picked off the runner at 1st but got called on a balk, runner goes to 2nd and Avent tossed out of the game

5/12/2018 7:00:01 PM

bdmazur
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Bottom of the 4th, Pack goes : HR, walk, tripple, sac fly

Tied 3-3

Update: And then the very next batter hits another Homer. 4-3 Pack.

Update: tripple, k, and then swinging strike 3 passed ball runner safe at 1st, run scores, 5-3 Pack.

[Edited on May 12, 2018 at 7:55 PM. Reason : -]

5/12/2018 7:46:39 PM

dalecooter
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Adam gold on the ESPN feed is terrible. He can’t leave his talk show approach behind.

5/12/2018 8:40:55 PM

ncsuapex
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Adam gold on the ESPN feed is terrible

5/12/2018 9:00:25 PM

bdmazur
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Pack wins 7-5. This game reminded me of the South Park baseball episode when both teams were intentionally trying to lose.

We won this game because of 5 straight walks. That's sad.

5/12/2018 10:00:56 PM

bdmazur
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5/13/2018 4:34:07 PM

bdmazur
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Florida State can no longer catch us, even if they win all 3 games next weekend. We can breath a little easier, but it also means we have more to play for than FSU does and that typically does not go well for State fans. We are in line for the 3 seed if we do no worse than Duke this weekend. 1/2 seed is still within reach, but it will take a strong showing from Pitt to make it happen.

Atlantic
Clemson (19-8): Pitt
NC State (18-9): FSU

Coastal
UNC (19-8): VT
Duke (17-9): GT

5/14/2018 2:01:10 AM

themayor
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UL jumped FSU; they could tie us.

5/14/2018 7:34:57 AM

DalCowboys
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I would assume that if ^ happened we would win the tiebreak by winning the series

5/14/2018 7:54:32 AM

jbrick83
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Quote :
"We won this game because of 5 straight walks. That's sad.

"


Eh...whatever. We were up 5-3 in the sixth with a 2-2 count and Brown tossed one right down the fucking middle for a strike and the ump called it a ball and they went on to tie the game before we got out of the inning. We get out of that inning unscathed and we roll.

It's fucking baseball...sometimes you need a few walks. Maybe if they had a pitcher throw it in the strike zone we would have stroked another couple of HRs. So get out of here with that shit.

5/14/2018 9:13:09 AM

rwoody
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It feels like you are mad that he isn't giving credit to State for winning, when he is just saying it was a poorly played game by both teams

5/14/2018 9:28:16 AM

jbrick83
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I just don't think we played that poorly. We were gifted a couple of runs, but for the most part we scored 5 against a good pitcher. And five walks means your team is disciplined at the plate. It's not like the pitcher threw 20 straight balls. Those were good at-bats.

5/14/2018 9:37:28 AM

bdmazur
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New batch of rankings

USA Today/Coaches Poll
#4 NC State
#7 Clemson
#8 UNC
#9 Duke
#12 FSU

Baseball America
#6 UNC
#7 NC State
#8 Duke
#9 Clemson
#14 FSU

d1baseball.com
#4 NC State
#7 UNC
#8 Clemson
#10 Duke
#11 FSU

Quote :
"UL jumped FSU; they could tie us"


We're guaranteed a top-4 finish. Louisville, FSU, or Miami will be #5.

[Edited on May 14, 2018 at 1:05 PM. Reason : -]

5/14/2018 12:57:06 PM

themayor
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I haven't seen a new projection of the brackets/regionals. Anyone think this solidified us into the top 8???

5/14/2018 1:29:28 PM

jbrick83
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If the season ended today I think it would.

But it doesn't, so we need to take at least 2 of 3 from FSU and win a game or two in the ACC tourney to be safe.

5/14/2018 2:16:31 PM

FriendlyFire
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I think we will have to win the FSU series or do very well in the acc tournament to be a national seed.

5/14/2018 3:45:46 PM

bdmazur
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The same people who ranked us top-5 last week had us as a 13 seed.

From what I've read, RPI factors heavily into seeding:
#3 UNC
#10 FSU
#11 Clemson
#14 Duke
#16 NC State

3 games against FSU and 2-4 games in the ACCT gives us plenty opportunity to up that number. Thankfully the top seed in each ACCT pool holds an automatic tie breaker, so the chances of making the ACC semis are pretty high.

5/14/2018 4:38:58 PM

AstralEngine
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Quote :
"The same people who ranked us top-5 last week had us as a 13 seed."


That's fucking stupid.

5/14/2018 5:22:15 PM

bdmazur
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My guess was that the rankings were based on how we've done so far, and the seed projections took predictions of future games into account. We were trending down at the time after losing 4 in a row so maybe they thought we'd drop one to Wake and not do well against FSU.

5/14/2018 5:25:06 PM

themayor
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Here is a great breakdown of the tourney format. If we finish at 3 (ahead of duke), we will be paired with the 6 seed (Miami or FSU) and the 10 seed (UVA, WF or Pitt) in pool play.

http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2775878-acc-baseball-tournament-2018-bracket-schedule-format-team-rosters-standings

5/15/2018 11:18:42 AM

bdmazur
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^According to that article, Clemson is #1 in the Coastal Division and UNC is #1 in the Atlanta Division...

5/15/2018 1:18:01 PM

bdmazur
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d1baseball.com projected national seeds:


#4 UNC
#8 Clemson
#10 FSU
#11 NC State
#14 Duke

We already needed Clemson to lose this weekend, but we will also be cheering against these teams this week:
#9 Stetson (@ Miami, vs SC Upstate x3)
#7 Georgia (vs #3 Arkansas x3)
#6 Ole Miss (@ ArkSt, @ Bama x3)

[Edited on May 15, 2018 at 5:42 PM. Reason : -]

5/15/2018 5:24:42 PM

scotieb24
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I'm on a flight with the Duke baseball team today.

5/16/2018 9:41:27 AM

jbrick83
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I'll be rooting against UNC because I hate them and Clemson because they are above us.

UNC lost to UNCW last night. If they somehow drop the series to a shitty VaTech team, then they won't get a national seed (barring an ACC Tournament Championship).

5/16/2018 9:44:32 AM

bdmazur
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^Wilmington is #83 RPI so that's going to hurt them...but then again it's the NCAA so they could lose every game left and someone is still going to vote them #1.

The Stetson/Miami game was cancelled, no help there.

Maybe we shouldn't have hoped so hard for our game with ECU to get rained out, would have helped our RPI and a win would have pushed us up another spot. Didn't do us much good to rest for the UNC series anyway.

[Edited on May 16, 2018 at 12:14 PM. Reason : -]

5/16/2018 12:10:43 PM

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