Quote :

"I really hope this thing does back off a bit with the warmer weather but Fauci said they simply don’t have enough data to conclude it will. Though he has said if it does then we will likely see a relapse in fall."

People keep suggesting that this is a likely outcome but I just don't see it. Namely, Iran, Italy, and Afghanistan cases make that clear to me. Also this is what we definitely don't want. Flu season exists in cold areas only because it spikes due to less humidity. In warm areas flu remains at a constant level all the time. If COVID-19 appears to be endemic (everywhere all the time), then that would fundamentally change the world more than it already has.

3/27/2020 1:39:09 PM

Didn't they say 90% of transmissions happen below 65 degrees? Anybody got a good article ab the season q?

[Edited on March 27, 2020 at 1:42 PM. Reason : ]

3/27/2020 1:40:50 PM

NC 4pm press conference from the governor, starting after the weekend #sources

3/27/2020 1:43:54 PM

Better late than never

3/27/2020 1:45:21 PM

Quote :

"Namely, Iran, Italy, and Afghanistan cases make that clear to me."

All of these places are cool in the winter. Your point may be valid but you chose the wrong countries

[Edited on March 27, 2020 at 2:18 PM. Reason : try bahrain, saudi arabia, thailand]

3/27/2020 2:17:33 PM

^ that is fair. I was thinking since they are not traditionally winter time cold. But that is still far different than hot. Mumbai, India has a lot of cases, so perhaps a better example there.

3/27/2020 2:22:22 PM

I thought there were places in Iran and Afghanistan that get pretty cold (and snowy)

Can mosquitoes spread this t hing (i'm assuming not, but asking for a friend)

[Edited on March 27, 2020 at 2:45 PM. Reason : ]

3/27/2020 2:35:09 PM

No. The virus can't replicate inside a mosquito.

3/27/2020 2:54:44 PM

We still have relatively little spread around equatorial Africa.

3/27/2020 2:56:45 PM

Quote :

" NC 4pm press conference from the governor, starting after the weekend #sources"

Yeah sounds like shelter in place going in to effect starting Monday is what I’m hearing.

Also on the subject of the virus slowing down in the hot months - y’all are smarter than me about this stuff. But wasn’t the deadliest wave of the Spanish flu after the the initial spring wave died down and then it ramped back up in the fall? And obviously I know this and the flu aren’t the same thing so I guess maybe it’s dumb to compare them.

3/27/2020 3:32:23 PM

30 Day shelter in place.

Hard to see it being enforced really well but, necessary step. Hope they keep allowing folks to go outside via greenways, parks, golf etc.

Massive hit to the economy.

3/27/2020 3:49:08 PM

fyi, stay-at-home and shelter-in-place are not the same thing, the former being a little less strict

3/27/2020 3:55:43 PM

Golf is a joke. I seriously doubt people are practicing proper social distancing while golfing.

3/27/2020 4:13:34 PM

Not like they can enforce either one to the T.

Wont be much difference for folks in counties with restrictions already in place, just now its statewide.

3/27/2020 4:14:12 PM

I've seen posts on FB that state without ML, these orders basically mean nothing, and they can try, but not legally cite you for being out.

I have no idea if there is any credence to that at all.

3/27/2020 4:22:39 PM

Well, there's plenty of credence to people being stupid and trying to flout whatever recommendations are made. That'll show 'em!

3/27/2020 4:27:19 PM

always a good reminder to disregard everything you see on Facebook

especially if what you’re seeing isn’t coming from someone in a position of authority

3/27/2020 4:30:19 PM

Well my whole thing is, why would you even want to be out?

I've been cooped up with kids for 3 weeks now, almost 24/7, with the exception of 3 grocery store trips, and two quick trips to school to pick up school work.

3/27/2020 4:34:35 PM

If i want to take my two sons out golfing and it is just us there is no problem with that. Same as tennis or any other individual sport/exercise.

3/27/2020 4:36:48 PM

Yeah but I am willing to bet that a large majority of people golfing will be doing so with people they don't live with.

3/27/2020 4:41:10 PM

Here's the order:

https://files.nc.gov/governor/documents/files/EO121-Stay-at-Home-Order-3.pdf

and the accompanying FAQ:

https://files.nc.gov/governor/documents/files/200327_FAQ-SAH-Order_FINAL.pdf

3/27/2020 5:05:37 PM

Lots of exempt businesses/industries. Some more obvious than others. For example, my farm (hi rwoody!) is exempt. Because, well, it’s a farm...For food and stuff. That’s obvious. But all the businesses that support farming are exempt as well. Fertilizer companies, chemical companies, farm supply stores, packaging suppliers, etc, etc. What I’m seeing from the NCDA is that basically the entire green industry is also being considered “essential”. So landscapers, garden centers, etc can remain open.

Tbh, other than this announcement perhaps being a wake up call for some people...I don’t see this changing much, really.

3/27/2020 5:34:09 PM

Weddings are limited to only 10 participants, but funerals are allowed up to 50 attendees.

3/27/2020 5:54:01 PM

Boris said he only has mild coronavirus (as opposed to full blown COVID-19)

3/27/2020 6:15:52 PM

So like covid-6, really

3/27/2020 6:19:43 PM

Lol, that’s nothing compared to Brazil’s Bolsonaro.

We really need to stop electing absolute psychopaths in this here world.

3/27/2020 6:33:07 PM

psychopaths and sycophants

3/27/2020 7:01:38 PM

That's like a minor case of HIV versus full-blown AIDS.

3/27/2020 7:17:04 PM

To be fair their is very much a difference between being HIV positive and having AIDS

3/27/2020 7:33:02 PM

Quote :

""I have a feeling that a lot of the numbers that are being said for some areas are just bigger than they're going to be," Trump said. "I don't believe you need 40,000 or 30,000 ventilators. You know, at a major hospital sometimes they'll have two ventilators. All of a sudden they're saying, 'Can we order 30,000 ventilators?'""

3/27/2020 8:05:36 PM

Discerning as ever. . .

3/27/2020 8:44:08 PM

^^^To be fair, I was just thinking of this:

https://youtu.be/raniSkRLa14

3/27/2020 8:47:26 PM

USA Covid19 World Champ! Bitch!
See you next year losers!

3/27/2020 9:40:23 PM

Hell is Coming: Here is the Mathematical Proof
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hell-coming-mathematical-proof-185019616.html

Quote :

"“Except a few educated people, no one has any idea that there are already around 2 million infected people in America today and the American death toll will exceed 15,000 in just 24 days. If we don’t take strict measures, we will be reporting 1000 deaths per day in just 3 weeks. The attacks on 9/11 killed around 3000 people. We will be reporting a 9/11 every three days. That’s why we say “hell is coming”. This is a mathematical certainty. It is inevitable.”"

Be afraid, very afraid.

3/28/2020 2:17:17 AM

^ That academic's previous articles, including the Feb article he mentioned above and said the predictions from it came true:

https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/author/inandogan

3/28/2020 2:59:23 AM

CASES
Jan 22: 500
Mar 05: 100,000
Mar 17: 200,000
Mar 21: 300,000
Mar 24: 400,000
Mar 26: 500,000
Mar 28: 600,000

DEATHS
Jan 22: 17
Mar 12: 5,000
Mar 19: 10,000
Mar 22: 15,000
Mar 25: 20,000
Mar 27: 25,000
Mar 28: 30,000 (prediction)

3/28/2020 5:44:17 AM

^^We can't let a few deaths crash the economy. This is the greatest country on Earth. It wasn't made to be shut down. We gotta get back to business now. This whole virus thing will blow over soon. Like a miracle.

3/28/2020 7:26:47 AM

^4 but our deaths on March 26ths were only a quarter of the predicted based on his model. So are we to assume distancing has course corrected us to some degree or that his model was inaccurate?

3/28/2020 7:29:32 AM

The estimate for March 26 was 800 total deaths thus far, the real number was something like 1300, if anything the estimate might be conservative.

[Edited on March 28, 2020 at 9:40 AM. Reason : It’s not death toll on that day]

3/28/2020 9:40:25 AM

Quote :

"I've seen posts on FB that state without ML, these orders basically mean nothing, and they can try, but not legally cite you for being out. I have no idea if there is any credence to that at all. "

Even if they can't enforce it very well at the individual level, it will also have the effect of forcing businesses to close and not have their employees come in. There are plenty of people who would otherwise be isolating themselves more, but can't because they're going to work every day.

Quote :

"To be fair their is very much a difference between being HIV positive and having AIDS"

You're making it sounds like getting infected with the coronavirus is a bigger deal than getting infected with HIV!

Quote :

"Lol, that’s nothing compared to Brazil’s Bolsonaro. We really need to stop electing absolute psychopaths in this here world. "

Seriously...can you imagine what will happen when/if Rio de Janeiro gets slammed by the 'VID?

[Edited on March 28, 2020 at 1:31 PM. Reason : ]

3/28/2020 1:28:35 PM

what businesses are actually closed by this?

3/28/2020 1:44:20 PM

non-food retail stores. the entertainment industry, and salons are examples of things closed by this.

3/28/2020 2:34:26 PM

^But they can just do delivery to get around it.

Pretty comical that breweries and bottle shops are "essential" and can just do curbside pick up or delivery, haha.

3/28/2020 3:06:39 PM

Alcoholics could die without their booze

3/28/2020 3:32:43 PM

Yeah I was struggling to come up with a store/business that was not currently closed but would now be closed after the stay at home order. Vape shops were one of the few I could come up with. Hair salons, nail salons, tattoo shops were already told to close before this, right?

3/28/2020 4:18:49 PM

http://covid19.healthdata.org

80k deaths is what the latest models are forecasting

3/28/2020 5:20:57 PM

Florida is going to be a disaster zone

And the inevitable finger pointing up to NYC won’t be the real reason why.

3/28/2020 5:25:20 PM

Florida is a disaster of a state anyway, but yeah. Pretty hypocritical of them to welcome spring breakers and their wallets just a few weeks ago, but now they've decided they've had enough snow birds who are running fro their lives in the Northeast from COVID-19

3/28/2020 5:30:28 PM

Florida is fucked

3/28/2020 5:35:05 PM

Interestingly enough the link shared just above by UJustWait84 says that Florida will never hit a hospital bed or ICU shortage, in spite of their best efforts. Meanwhile it shows we will be severely lacking beds in NC. Pwnt.

3/28/2020 6:32:38 PM